The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has predicted a ‘normal’ monsoon this year for the country. As per the prediction, the southwest monsoon season from June to September is likely to be normal with an expected rainfall of around 98 per cent of the long period average.
Notably, the long period average of the monsoon season is calculated based on the rainfall received during the monsoon season across the country for the period from 1961 to 2010. The long period average rainfall for India stands at 88 cm.
The prediction comes as a big relief for the Indian agriculture sector, especially when the COVID-19 pandemic has wreaked havoc on the Indian economy resulting in large-scale unemployment and a massive decline in economic activities.
Southwest monsoon enters through Kerala
The southwest monsoonal clouds enter the country from Kerala in early June and then gradually move northwards covering the entire country within a month. Ministry of Earth Sciences secretary M Rajeevan said the long period average of monsoon will be 98 per cent, which falls in the “normal” category. The range for ‘normal’ rainfall is between 96 per cent and 104 per cent.
Rajeevan said the normal rainfall prediction is good news for the country as it will result in good agriculture output.
A few days back, Private forecaster Skymet too had predicted a normal monsoon this year. It predicted that rainfall in 2021 is likely to be around 103 per cent of the long-term average.
Last September, the weather department had said the country received an “above normal” monsoon in 2020. This was the second-highest precipitation in the last 30 years.
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