Although the onset of southwest monsoon in Kerala has got slightly delayed, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) on Tuesday predicted a normal monsoon for the country this year, with rainfall likely to be in the range of 96-104 per cent of the long period average (LPA).
Notably, the long period average of the monsoon season is calculated based on the rainfall received during the monsoon season across the country for the period from 1961 to 2010. The long period average rainfall for India stands at 88 cm.
Region wise forecast
The IMD predicted that rainfall is likely to be normal in north (92 to 108 per cent) and south India (93 to 107 per cent), above-normal in central India (over 106 per cent) and below-normal in east and northeast India (less than 95 per cent). In Northwest India, monsoon rainfall is expected to be normal. In Northwest India, monsoon rainfall is expected to be normal.
IMD’s director general Mrityunjay Mohapatra said that the onset of monsoon in the Indian subcontinent is delayed by two days and monsoonal clouds are going to enter Kerala on June 3. Notably, India’s agriculture sector predominantly depends upon monsoon for irrigation.
Onset of monsoon in Kerala
The southwest monsoonal clouds enter the country from Kerala in early June and then gradually move northwards covering the entire country within a month. This year, monsoon is likely to enter within the next 72 hours.
A few days back, private forecaster Skymet too had predicted a normal monsoon this year. It predicted that rainfall in 2021 is likely to be around 103 per cent of the long-term average.
Monsoon in Gujarat
According to IMD’s forecast, monsoonal clouds are likely to enter Gujarat around June 15 and likely to cover the entire state by end of the month. Last year, the state received considerably good rainfall with majority of the waterbodies filling up to the brim.
In the first two-and-a-half months of the monsoon season, the state had reported 28 per cent more rainfall than the long-term average. While the average rainfall for the period between June 1 and August 16 is 472.2 mm, Gujarat had recorded 604.9 mm rainfall.
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